PROBABILITY Thoroughbred



Probability is a thoroughbred horse born in United States of America in 2022. Race horse Probability is by Improbable (USA) out of Perazzi (USA) , trained by Amelia J Green. Probability form is available here. Owned by THE ELKSTONE GROUP LLC.


Pedigree :
Sire IMPROBABLE (USA) 2016
Dam PERAZZI (USA) 2011
Dam Sire CURLIN (USA) 2004

About the horse :
Foal Date 18 Apr 2022
Description 4yo CH Colt
Trainer Amelia J Green
Owner The Elkstone Group Llc
Career 1 Win (14%) - 4 Placings (71%) - 7 starts
Wins 1609m (1)
PM United States of America : USD $100,620

Sale Information :
offline

2026 January Digital Sale (31)  

Evergreen Equine, Agent 

The Elkstone Group LLC

USD $ 105,000

offline

2023 New York Bred Yearlings Sale (372)  

GAINESWAY AGENT III 

CHC INC SIENA FARM MAVERICK RACING

USD $ 300,000



Starts:

7

Win Rate:

14%

Place Rate:

71%










Probability Past Races

8 of 8, 17 Apr 2026, R6 ALLOWANCE 1980y | USD $ 77,000 | 57.0kg | J: J RODRIGUEZ | T: A J GREEN | OP-Didn't finish off | 1:51.87 | Winner: EZ ROLL
1 of 5, 22 Mar 2026, R2 MDN SP WT 1760y | USD $ 75,000 | 57.0kg | J: J RODRIGUEZ | T: A J GREEN | Led-Effortless win | 1:38.20 | 2nd: MO CURLS
2 of 5, 27 Feb 2026, R2 MDN SP WT 1430y | USD $ 75,000 | 55.5kg | J: MANUEL FRANCO | T: A J GREEN | MF-Held on fairly | 1:20.20 | Winner: KAZ OIL CHANGER
2 of 5, 09 Jan 2026, R5 MDN OPT CLM 1760y | USD $ 75,000 | 55.5kg | J: MANUEL FRANCO | T: W WALDEN | | 1:38.21 | Winner: SEQUENTIAL
2 of 8, 05 Dec 2025, R8 MDN SP WT 1760y | USD $ 80,000 | 55.0kg | J: MANUEL FRANCO | T: W WALDEN | | 1:37.14 | Winner: TWOHONESTMISCHIEF
3 of 11, 21 Sep 2024, R7 MDN SP WT 1320y | USD $ 75,000 | 54.0kg | J: K CARMOUCHE | T: T PLETCHER | OP-Grabbed minor placing | 1:11.16 | Winner: MAN IN FINANCE
5 of 10, 03 Aug 2024, R2 MDN SP WT 1320y | USD $ 90,000 | 54.0kg | J: I O JR | T: T PLETCHER | MF-Closed off well | 1:11.29 | Winner: SMILENSAYCHEESE
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Horse Stat
Jockey
Win
Win%
Place
Place%
Starts
PM
Profit
POT
JAMIE RODRIGUEZ 1 50% 0 0% 2 $59,056 -4 30
I ORTIZ JR 0 0% 0 0% 1 $5,530 -10 0
K CARMOUCHE 0 0% 1 100% 1 $13,235 -10 0
MANUEL FRANCO 0 0% 3 100% 3 $68,322 -30 0

Course
Win
Win%
Place
Place%
Starts
PM
Profit
POT
AQUEDUCT 1 17% 4 67% 6 $140,613 -44 10
SARATOGA 0 0% 0 0% 1 $5,530 -10 0


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