PROBABLE CHANGE Thoroughbred
Probable Change is a thoroughbred horse born in Japan in 2019. Race horse Probable Change is by Pyro (USA) out of Anaconda (JPN) , trained by Ryo Takei. Probable Change form is available here. Owned by Yoshio Oda.
Pedigree :
| Sire | PYRO (USA) 2005 |
| Dam | ANACONDA (JPN) 2009 |
| Dam Sire | FUSAICHI CONCORDE (JPN) 1993 |
About the horse :
| Foal Date | 06 Apr 2019 |
| Description | 7yo CH Mare |
| Trainer | Ryo Takei |
| Owner | Yoshio Oda |
| Career | 3 Wins (5%) - 13 Placings (26%) - 61 starts |
| Wins | 1400m (3) |
| PM | Japan : JPY ¥5,318,000 |
Sale Information :
2020 Hokkaido Summer Sale Yearlings (1273)
Kawamukai Takahashi Ikusei Bokujo
Yoshio Oda
JPY ¥ 4,840,000
Starts:61 |
Win Rate:5% |
Place Rate:26% |
Probable Change Past Races
| 5 of 10, 05 May 2025, R1 FOUR YEAR OLD & UP 1400m | JPY ¥ 1,080,000 | 55.0kg | J: D MATSUKI | T: TOSHITERU KUNISAWA | MF-Found the line well | 1:35.40 | Winner: SUN ALFIE |
| 11 of 11, 10 Apr 2025, R1 FOUR YEAR OLD & UP 1400m | JPY ¥ 1,080,000 | 55.0kg | J: D MATSUKI | T: TOSHITERU KUNISAWA | OP-Couldn't capitalise | 1:34.50 | Winner: TASMAN HIGHWAY |
| 11 of 12, 11 Mar 2025, R1 FOUR YEAR OLD & UP 1400m | JPY ¥ 952,000 | 54.0kg | J: D MATSUKI | T: TOSHITERU KUNISAWA | MF-Finished well back | 1:35.10 | Winner: A SHIN SERENA |
| 11 of 12, 11 Feb 2025, R3 FOUR YEAR OLD & UP 1400m | JPY ¥ 952,000 | 54.0kg | J: D MATSUKI | T: TOSHITERU KUNISAWA | MF-Finished well back | 1:34.60 | Winner: SOMETIME AGO |
| 9 of 12, 28 Jan 2025, R3 FOUR YEAR OLD & UP 1400m | JPY ¥ 952,000 | 54.0kg | J: D MATSUKI | T: TOSHITERU KUNISAWA | Got Bk-Made no headway | 1:35.00 | Winner: FUKU RESERVE |
| 6 of 12, 25 Dec 2024, R4 THREE YEAR OLD & UP 1400m | JPY ¥ 952,000 | 54.0kg | J: KENTA SUGIURA | T: TOSHITERU KUNISAWA | MF-Closed off well | 1:33.60 | Winner: YAMANIN LA VERA |
| 3 of 12, 11 Dec 2024, R1 THREE YEAR OLD & UP 1400m | JPY ¥ 952,000 | 54.0kg | J: KENTA SUGIURA | T: TOSHITERU KUNISAWA | OP-Beaten comfortably | 1:33.80 | Winner: PUERTO GALERA |
| 7 of 10, 26 Nov 2024, R7 THREE YEAR OLD & UP 1400m | JPY ¥ 952,000 | 54.0kg | J: KENTA SUGIURA | T: TOSHITERU KUNISAWA | MF-Never in it | 1:33.30 | Winner: OKEN FIGHTER |
| 7 of 10, 12 Nov 2024, R6 THREE YEAR OLD & UP 1400m | JPY ¥ 1,190,000 | 54.0kg | J: KENTA SUGIURA | T: TOSHITERU KUNISAWA | OP-Pretty poor effort | 1:33.40 | Winner: CHERRY TIME |
| 9 of 10, 29 Oct 2024, R5 THREE YEAR OLD & UP 1400m | JPY ¥ 1,190,000 | 54.0kg | J: KENTA SUGIURA | T: TOSHITERU KUNISAWA | Got Bk-Never in the race | 1:33.40 | Winner: PIECE D'ARGENT |
Horse Stat |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Jockey
|
Win
|
Win%
|
Place
|
Place%
|
Starts
|
PM
|
Profit
|
POT
|
||||
| WATARU HIROSE | 2 | 8% | 8 | 32% | 25 | $33,647 | -174 | 22 | ||||
| SHUHEI KOTANI | 1 | 12% | 0 | 0% | 8 | $6,840 | 25 | 119 | ||||
| AKIRA SUGAWARA | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% | 2 | $0 | -20 | 0 | ||||
| TAISEI DANNO | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% | 1 | $0 | -10 | 0 | ||||
| TAKUYA KOWATA | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% | 1 | $0 | -10 | 0 | ||||
| Y IWATA | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% | 1 | $0 | -10 | 0 | ||||
| SHUTO KOBAYASHI | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% | 1 | $0 | -10 | 0 | ||||
| OSAMU SHIMOHARA | 0 | 0% | 3 | 75% | 4 | $11,209 | -40 | 0 | ||||
| SASAKI SEREI | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% | 1 | $669 | -10 | 0 | ||||
| KENTA SUGIURA | 0 | 0% | 2 | 29% | 7 | $3,825 | -70 | 0 | ||||
| KOSUKE MATSUMOTO | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% | 3 | $787 | -30 | 0 | ||||
| KANTA INOUE | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% | 2 | $0 | -20 | 0 | ||||
| DAICHI MATSUKI | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% | 5 | $0 | -50 | 0 | ||||
|
Course
|
Win
|
Win%
|
Place
|
Place%
|
Starts
|
PM
|
Profit
|
POT
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SONODA | 3 | 7% | 9 | 20% | 44 | $44,417 | -259 | 34 |
| HIMEJI | 0 | 0% | 4 | 36% | 11 | $12,560 | -110 | 0 |
| FUKUSHIMA | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% | 1 | $0 | -10 | 0 |
| HAKODATE | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% | 1 | $0 | -10 | 0 |
| TOKYO | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% | 3 | $0 | -30 | 0 |
| NAKAYAMA | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% | 1 | $0 | -10 | 0 |